
The dollar gained on Thursday as U.S. consumer spending accelerated in July, while the euro fell after cautious comments from an ECB hawk. The PCE price index rose 0.2%, and the dollar index was last up 0.54% at 103.66.
Fed funds futures priced an 89% chance of no change in September and a 44% chance of a November hike.
A firmer dollar raises the local-currency cost of dollar-priced grains and meal for importers, which can weigh on export demand and prices. Mixed data leaves the Fed outlook uncertain, so the dollar's direction remains unsettled.
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 533 次看跌的宏观事件之后,欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(33% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +0.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。