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The August Ag Economists' Monthly Monitor from the University of Missouri and Farm Journal found most surveyed economists expect US cattle herd rebuilding not to start until Q2 2024 or later. The US beef cow herd is at its lowest since 1962.
Economists also flagged likely consolidation among cattle producers and meat processors.
A prolonged herd contraction keeps cattle supplies tight and supports higher cattle prices into 2024, which in turn affects cattle feeding economics and demand for feed.
在过去 268 次看涨的报告事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(58% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 +1.7%。
在过去 227 次看涨的报告事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +1.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。