
S&P Global assesses that the EU deforestation regulation will likely reconfigure trade and supply chains for deforestation-linked commodities over the next decade. Impacts are expected in Indonesia, Malaysia, Brazil, Argentina, and cocoa origins such as Cote d'Ivoire and Ghana.
Most producing countries are expected to focus on enforcing existing rules rather than enacting new legislation within a year.
Higher compliance costs and tracing requirements could shift EU-bound palm oil, soy and beef trade toward low-risk origins. The outlook is long-term, so near-term price effects are limited.
在过去 513 次中性的政策事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
在过去 206 次中性的政策事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。