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Mecardo reports that ABARES forecasts Australian sorghum production to fall 39% in 2023-24 to about 1.5 million tonnes, driven by 21% less planted area and yields dropping from 3.65 to 2.85 t/ha. Dry winter conditions left dryland crops short of soil moisture, while irrigated crops benefit from stored water.
A sharp drop in Australian sorghum supply tightens feed grain availability in eastern Australia and can lift local feed prices. The forecast is near the 10-year average, so the tightening is relative to recent wet-year supply.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 445 次中性的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。