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IKON Commodities forecasts Australia's wheat, barley and canola output at 48.1 million tonnes, down from last year's record 65Mt but 3% above the five-year average. IKON's wheat estimate of 30.4Mt is well above ABARES's June figure of 26.2Mt.
A private forecast above ABARES's wheat estimate suggests the market may see less supply tightening than official figures indicate, which could weigh on prices.
在过去 406 次中性的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。