A Kedia Advisory outlook summarises the October USDA data, cutting US soybean production by 42 million bushels to 4.1 billion on lower yields of 49.6 bu/acre. Soybean exports were trimmed by 35 million bushels on South American competition, and crush was raised to 2.3 billion bushels.
Season-average price forecasts were unchanged.
The smaller US crop and firm crush support soybean prices, while the export cut and unchanged meal and oil forecasts limit upside for the products.
在过去 747 次看涨的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 250 次中性的报告事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
在过去 114 次中性的报告事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.4%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。