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Vietcap raised its 2023 average Middle East urea price forecast to USD 360/t and its 2024 forecast to USD 370/t. The firm cites China's urea export restrictions, Russia's extension of nitrogen export quotas through end-2024, and possibly lower EU exports as drivers, with urea futures recovering to about USD 380/t in mid-November from a late-June low near USD 260/t.
Expected policy-driven export curbs from China and Russia support nitrogen fertilizer prices into 2024, raising input costs for feed grain and oilseed producers.
vietcap.com.vnVIETCAP2023年11月17日在过去 129 次看涨的政策事件之后，尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +1.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
