
Live cattle and feeder cattle futures fell sharply on November 9 after the WASDE report raised its 2024 beef production estimate above expectations. Feeder contracts led the drop, with nearby prices down nearly $8 per cwt.
Cash trade was also $4 to $5 lower and choice boxed beef slipped below $300.
A larger projected 2024 beef supply adds to bearish pressure on cattle prices already weakened by slower slaughter and softer beef demand. Feeder and live cattle values are likely to stay under pressure until the supply outlook firms.
在过去 144 次看跌的报告事件之后,活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.1% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.5%。
在过去 126 次看跌的报告事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.6%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
The WASDE report on Nov 9 raised 2024 beef production estimates above expectations, triggering a sharp sell-off in feeder futures (nearby down nearly $8/cwt), directly matching the move's date and size.