
Excessive rain in southern Brazil and dryness in central and northern areas are slowing soybean and first-crop corn planting for 2023/24. Southern Brazil recorded its third-wettest period since 1979 from October 1 to November 26, and flooding is causing logistics problems for record agricultural exports.
A strong El Niño could persist into 2024.
Planting delays and possible yield losses in Brazil tighten the outlook for soybeans and corn while logistics strain could slow export flows. Both factors support prices for South American supply.
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。