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ING analysts say markets now price a first ECB rate cut in April, and further dovish repricing will be harder from here. EUR/USD has returned to 1.09.
The two-year EUR-USD swap spread is at its narrowest since December 2022.
Narrowing short-term rate differentials can pressure the euro and lift the dollar, which affects dollar-priced commodity values. The direct effect on feed prices is limited.
在过去 129 次中性的宏观事件之后,欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(45% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.5% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。