Wet conditions since October in western and northern Europe have delayed winter crop planting, particularly in France, where sowing was pushed into December. By November 27, 82% of French soft wheat was planted against 99% a year earlier and a 95% long-term average, and the crop rating fell to 80% good to excellent.
Winter barley sowing was 92% complete, with its rating also declining.
Late planting and falling crop ratings in the EU's biggest grain producer raise yield risk and support European feed grain prices. Its effect on world wheat prices depends on whether the sowing delay becomes a lasting crop loss.
在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(55% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。