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Brazil's drought, linked to El Niño, is causing farmers to delay fertilizer purchases for the upcoming corn-planting season. Brazil's soybean harvest is already late, which may push back planting of the main corn crop.
Mosaic expects Brazil's safrinha corn crop to fall about 12 percent, slightly more than the government's estimate.
A smaller safrinha corn crop tightens export supplies from the top corn exporter and supports corn prices. Weaker fertilizer demand also pressures fertilizer producers' sales and prices.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。