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ING analysts argue one more rate cut by Brazil's central bank would bring the Selic rate to a neutral level, so further cuts would need positive economic data to be justified. They also note Brazilian market spreads to the US look rich compared with history, while Mexican spreads look more attractive.
Brazilian interest-rate policy shapes the real's direction and the cost of capital for Brazilian farms and exporters. Slower future cuts would limit currency weakness and domestic feed-demand support.
think.ing.comPadhraic Garvey, CFA2024年1月29日在过去 92 次中性的宏观事件之后，巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（58% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +1.4%），20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
