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Farm Progress outlines how the El Niño winter shapes 2024 Northern Hemisphere wheat prospects. France's planted area is down 11% after excess autumn rain, while Russia has received above-normal winter precipitation that favors yields and Australia may face production problems.
Mixed regional outlooks mean wheat price direction depends on whether Russian and European crops offset expected shortfalls in Australia and Southeast Asia.
在过去 224 次中性的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。