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The dollar drifted lower after US consumer prices rose 3.1% year on year in January, above the expected 2.9%. Futures priced no rate cut in March and roughly an 80% chance of easing at the June meeting.
Hotter inflation pushes back rate cuts, which tends to support the dollar and weigh on dollar-priced commodities. The shift in expected timing of cuts is the key link to commodity prices.
在过去 359 次中性的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +0.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。