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AgWeb reports that experts see geopolitics, weather and low supply as top concerns in the US fertilizer market as spring prices rise seasonally. Rabobank expects the worst of the price spike to be over, while StoneX notes that new Russian pipelines could bring large supply back and sharply lower prices.
Israel-Hamas tensions are also flagged as a risk.
Expected new Russian ammonia supply could ease input costs over time, but geopolitical risk near Ukraine and the Middle East keeps the outlook uncertain for crop production costs.
agweb.com2024年2月29日在过去 11 次中性的地缘政治事件之后，尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（64% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +5.9%），20 个交易日内为 +7.8%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
