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ING expects Latin American central banks to keep cutting rates quickly, with Banxico starting an easing cycle at 11.00%. It forecasts USD/BRL drifting down to 4.70 over 12 months, while noting the real has lagged after a government intervention involving Petrobras and falling iron ore prices.
Rate cuts and a weaker dollar outlook tend to support the real, which can make Brazilian exports cheaper in dollar terms and add competition for US soybean and corn sales.
think.ing.comChris Turner2024年3月22日在过去 92 次中性的宏观事件之后，巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（58% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.7% 至 +1.4%），20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
