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Fitch Ratings expects Malaysia's benchmark crude palm oil prices to weaken from the second quarter of 2024 because of higher global vegetable oil supply. Its benchmark assumption is $700 per tonne for 2024 and 2025.
Fitch flagged El Niño or La Niña and Indonesian biodiesel blending as upside risks.
Expected Q2 supply growth and mild weather point to softer palm prices, though a stronger biodiesel mandate could reverse that. Feed costs tied to vegetable oils may ease later in the year.
在过去 96 次看跌的报告事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。