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China's government is pushing domestic infant formula self-sufficiency, with imports falling 35% from the 2019 peak to 223,000 MT. Beijing now plans to promote fresh dairy over reconstituted milk through labeling, and China's dairy cow herd reached 6.5 million head at the end of last year.
Lower Chinese dairy import demand and domestic herd growth reduce global dairy trade volumes, a mildly bearish factor for dairy prices. The impact on feed demand is gradual.
在过去 49 次看跌的贸易事件之后,牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.3%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.7% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。