USDA's May WASDE and Crop Production reports showed a lower-than-expected 2023-24 corn carryout of 2.022 billion bushels, driven by higher domestic usage and 50 million bushels more exports. The 2024-25 corn estimate of 14.9 billion bushels assumed a record 181 bu/acre yield on 90 million planted acres.
Wheat production came in 40 million bushels below trade expectations, while soybean changes were minor.
Tighter-than-expected corn stocks and a smaller wheat crop support prices for feed grains, and buyers should expect firmer corn and wheat costs. The record yield assumption leaves room for a downside correction if summer weather is favorable.
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 769 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 563 次中性的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。