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Market sources told S&P Global that record blending mandates and rising domestic demand for soybean oil could halt Brazilian soybean oil exports in coming years. USDA projects Brazil's 2024-25 soybean oil exports at 1.4 million mt, down 22.2% from the previous season.
Brazil's biodiesel blend is B14, with B15 planned for next year.
If Brazil's domestic biodiesel demand absorbs more soybean oil, less supply reaches export markets, which could tighten global vegetable oil supply. Analysts also cite soy oil trading low, so the net effect on prices is uncertain.
在过去 224 次看涨的贸易事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.5% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。