
ING reports that OPEC+ extended its additional voluntary cuts and laid out plans to ease them gradually from the fourth quarter of 2024. The group also rolled over about 2 million barrels per day of group-wide cuts through the end of 2025.
ING expects the market to stay in deficit for the rest of 2024.
A market deficit through 2024 supports crude prices and keeps energy costs firm for feed and biofuel supply chains. The gradual unwinding of cuts from late 2024 limits how much prices can rise.
在过去 442 次看涨的政策事件之后,原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.4%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.0% 至 +4.9%),20 个交易日内为 +2.1%。
在过去 438 次看涨的政策事件之后,原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.9%(61% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.2% 至 +4.6%),20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
ING's summary of the OPEC+ outcome describes the gradual easing of cuts from Q4 2024, which is the supply-side catalyst for the selloff, partly offset by the extension of group-wide cuts.