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The Bank of Japan raised rates by 15bp, more than the 10bp expected, while the Fed held rates at 5.25-5.50% and signaled a possible September cut. The yen rallied sharply, pushing USD/JPY below 149 for the first time since March.
Fed funds futures price multiple cuts through March.
A weaker dollar and firmer yen reflect diverging central bank policy, which can shift currency-driven export competitiveness and dollar-denominated commodity prices. The effect on feed prices is indirect and moderate.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。