加载中…
Analysts from Rigzone's interviews expect OPEC+ to stick to its plans announced at the June meeting, assuming no major changes. The next key meeting is in December, and geopolitics including US elections and Ukraine, Gaza and Iran sanctions could shift the outlook.
The base case shows some output unwinding in Q4 2024, then flat output in 2025 at December targets.
Expectations of planned unwinding in late 2024 and flat output in 2025 imply a more balanced crude market, limiting upside for energy costs. Geopolitical risk remains the main upside factor for prices.
rigzone.comAndreas Exarheas2024年7月25日在过去 175 次中性的政策事件之后，原油(Brent) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.9%（45% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -3.6% 至 +3.0%），20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 187 次中性的政策事件之后，原油(WTI) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%（49% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -4.0% 至 +3.5%），20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
