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StoneX's weekly Brazil FX outlook says the dollar will reflect inflation in Brazil and the US and the credibility of fiscal and monetary policy. Bearish factors include possible Fed rate cuts, while bullish factors include fiscal risk from Brazil's 2025 budget breakdown.
The week saw strong currency volatility driven by shifting risk appetite.
Expectations of a firmer dollar against the real would raise Brazilian export commodity costs in dollar terms, while a weaker dollar would support Brazilian farm margins and export competitiveness.
stonex.comStoneX Intelligence Brazil2024年8月26日在过去 301 次看涨的宏观事件之后，巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（57% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
