
Wheat futures rebounded 2-2.6% on August 27 after multi-year lows, as traders reacted to a cut in EU soft wheat yield by MARS to 5.68 t/ha and a lower German wheat forecast from DRV at 18.8 mln t. EU wheat exports in 2024/25 were 22% below last year's pace as of August 23.
A smaller EU crop and slow EU export pace support Euronext and Black Sea export prices, though Chicago and Kansas City remain near multi-year lows. Buyers should expect firmer European wheat offers, while US wheat stays pressured by ample supplies.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 180 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.1% 至 +3.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.6%。
在过去 769 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。