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US soybean export sales for the new 2024/25 marketing year have fallen to levels not seen since 2008, excluding the 2019 trade war lows. CoBank analysts expect demand to recover, citing a possible smaller South American crop and EU deforestation rules starting December 30, 2024.
Weak early export pace is bearish near term, but a possible Brazilian shortfall and EU rules could lift US demand and support prices later in the season.
在过去 250 次中性的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 224 次中性的贸易事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(43% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.2%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。