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An essay by Andy Hecht argues that de-dollarization, driven by the Xi-Putin 2022 partnership and recent geopolitical events, could threaten the dollar's reserve role. It notes that the dollar index is weighted 57.6% to the euro and is driven mainly by interest rate differentials.
The piece says a shift in the currency system could push dollar-based commodity prices sharply higher.
Long-run questions about the dollar's reserve status affect how commodity prices are denominated, but the near-term effect on feed prices is speculative.
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。