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BNP Paribas argues the euro could rise rather than fall if a recession hits, because the dollar's role as a high-yielding currency is weakening. The bank expects the dollar to become more vulnerable as US interest rates come down.
A forecast of dollar weakness would lower dollar-priced commodity costs for euro buyers, though the effect on prices is indirect and uncertain.
在过去 129 次中性的宏观事件之后,欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(45% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.5% 至 +0.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
在过去 359 次中性的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +0.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。