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Floods across central Europe are cutting projections for next year's European grain and oilseed crops, after adverse 2024 weather left the region with some of its smallest crops in decades. COCERAL pegged combined EU and UK grain output at 280.3 million tonnes, about 16 million lower than its earlier estimate.
European rapeseed is trading at a sizeable premium to Canadian canola, and Canada has already shipped 42,300 tonnes out of Thunder Bay.
A smaller European wheat and rapeseed crop tightens supply for importers and draws demand toward Canadian canola and other exporters, supporting prices. The loss of Ukrainian export supply adds to the upward pressure.
manitobacooperator.caPhil Franz-Warkentin2024年9月27日在过去 1,072 次看涨的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（55% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.3%），20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
