
Avian influenza has disrupted US egg distribution for the second time in two years, with wholesale egg prices more than doubling over four months. USDA estimated in July that bird flu sickened over 3 million birds, about 1% of egg-laying chickens, though recent inspections suggest containment progress.
Rapid wholesale price gains reflect acute layer losses, while signs of containment could bring prices down quickly. Feed demand from the layer sector moves with flock size, so recovery or further losses would shift layer feed use.
在过去 145 次中性的疫病事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(58% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
在过去 98 次中性的疫病事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 -0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。