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OSU economist Derrell Peel says the import halt will remove the last six weeks or so of Mexican cattle imports and cut annual imports by about 18%. He estimates 250,000 to 300,000 fewer head will be imported by year-end, a number small relative to the US calf crop but noticeable in a tight market.
A cut of roughly 250,000 to 300,000 feeder head in a tight supply market supports feeder cattle prices and may trim feedlot placements.
在过去 122 次看涨的疫病事件之后,架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。