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The World Bank's natural gas price index rose nearly 4% in November to its highest since December 2023, driven by an 8% jump in the European benchmark. Projections call for European prices to rise in 2025 and US prices to increase significantly.
Upside risks include Middle East conflict, Ukrainian transit uncertainty and colder weather.
The outlook for rising gas prices in 2025 points to higher costs for nitrogen fertilizer and energy-intensive feed processing. Geopolitical risks add upside volatility.
blogs.worldbank.orgPaolo Agnolucci, Nikita Makarenko2024年12月17日在过去 155 次看涨的宏观事件之后，天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -4.0% 至 +7.1%），20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
