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S&P Global expects Australia's 2024-25 wheat output to rise about 4 million mt to over 30 million mt, with ABARES at 31.9 million mt. Late-November rain delayed harvest and may downgrade 3-4 million mt of wheat, mainly in Victoria and southern NSW.
A sharp output recovery adds Australian feed wheat supply, which weighs on Asian feed wheat prices. Quality downgrades could limit that pressure by pushing buyers toward higher-grade supply.
spglobal.comSampad Nandy, Vivien Tang2024年12月18日在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
