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ABARES raised its national 2024-25 wheat estimate by 60,000t to 31.89Mt and its canola estimate by 115,000t to 5.587Mt in its quarterly crop report. It cut the barley estimate by 495,000t to 11.665Mt, mainly on a 470,000t drop in South Australia, where dryness and frost have hurt yields.
A larger Australian wheat crop adds exportable supply at a time of low global prices, which is bearish for wheat. The barley cut tightens feed barley supply in an exporter market.
在过去 1,006 次看跌的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(50% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。