USDA's December WASDE cut the 2024/25 US corn ending stocks forecast by 200 million bushels to 1.738 billion, 62 million below the lowest pre-report trade estimate. The cut reflected a 150 million bushel increase in exports to 2.475 billion and 50 million more bushels for ethanol.
Soybean stocks were unchanged at 470 million bushels and wheat stocks fell 20 million to 795 million.
A much tighter US corn carryout supports corn prices, as the export and ethanol demand boost draws down stocks faster than the trade expected. Soybeans were largely neutral and wheat only slightly bullish.
在过去 1,040 次看涨的报告事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.5%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.9% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.8%。
在过去 563 次中性的报告事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
在过去 769 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。