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The December JRC MARS Bulletin says winter crops are in fair to good condition across most of Europe. Dry weather from November to early December allowed farmers to advance sowing, though crops are underdeveloped in parts of Romania, Bulgaria, eastern Ukraine and European Russia.
Dry soils remain a concern in Sicily and the Maghreb.
Good winter crop conditions support expectations of a normal EU harvest, which is bearish for wheat and barley. Dryness in Sicily and North Africa could later raise import demand from the region.
joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu2024年12月16日在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后，小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足，暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
