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Yuan forward pricing, interest rate derivatives and analyst forecasts indicate China is allowing a slow depreciation of the yuan against a broadly stronger dollar ahead of Trump's second term. Sell-side analysts see a 5-6% decline from current levels by year end.
The yuan has hovered near 16-month lows and has fallen for three straight years.
A weaker yuan makes Chinese buyers less price-sensitive to dollar-priced imports only if it is offset elsewhere; a gradual depreciation tends to reduce Chinese import demand appetite for US feed grains and meal at the margin, while supporting Brazilian and other competing origins.
reuters.com2025年1月17日在过去 398 次看涨的宏观事件之后，人民币(每 USD 的 CNY) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（56% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.5%），20 个交易日内为 +0.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
