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BIMCO reports that China's imported grain shipments fell 51% year-over-year in January, hitting Panamax vessels, which carry 83% of China's grain cargoes. U.S. cargoes to China dropped 57% and Brazilian cargoes 29%.
The Baltic Panamax Index has fallen 41% from last year to its lowest since May 2020.
Weaker Chinese demand for soybeans and grain, driven by high inventories, low crusher margins and record domestic harvests, is bearish for soybean and grain prices and for ocean freight rates.
在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 683 次看跌的贸易事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.3%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。