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CRU's fertilizer team set out its 2025 predictions, including no new EU restrictions on Russian fertilizer imports and continued heavy Chinese ammonium sulphate exports of over 17 million tonnes. It also expects the incoming US administration to impose trade tariffs affecting fertilizer supply and demand.
Expected Chinese export flows and US tariffs could shift fertilizer supply in both directions, leaving nitrogen and phosphate prices exposed to trade policy. These are forecasts rather than confirmed actions, so the near-term price effect is limited.
在过去 26 次中性的报告事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(42% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -4.1% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。