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The dollar firmed after solid US data, with rate futures pricing about a 95% chance the Fed would pause in January. Futures also implied only 37 basis points of cuts for 2025, against two expected under the Fed's dot plot.
Fewer expected rate cuts keep the dollar supported, which can weigh on dollar-denominated commodity prices. The effect on feed markets is indirect.
在过去 2,356 次看涨的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.3% 至 +0.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。