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Dairy analyst Robin Schmahl said tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China, which together take about 40% of US dairy exports, add uncertainty to dairy pricing. Butterfat dropped more than a dollar per hundredweight in two days after the 25% Canadian tariff was announced in early February.
Tariff pauses for the northern and southern neighbors have not fully calmed markets.
Retaliation against US dairy exports to Canada, Mexico or China would cut demand for butterfat, cheese and dry powders. Uncertainty alone can produce sharp short-term price swings.
在过去 18 次中性的贸易事件之后,牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(39% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.9% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 -3.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。