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Oil World analyst Thomas Mielke expects global biodiesel and HVO production to decline in 2025 by about 0.5 million tons, versus average growth of roughly 4 million tons per year, as feedstock prices have risen faster than diesel. He doubts Indonesia can meet its B40 mandate and says Brazil has suspended a planned blend increase.
Weaker biodiesel margins reduce feedstock demand for palm oil and soybean oil, while a lower Indonesian mandate push would ease vegetable oil prices.
在过去 400 次看跌的政策事件之后,棕榈油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
在过去 351 次看跌的政策事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。