
Rabobank's Global Pork Quarterly Q1 2025 says producers remain cautious about herd expansion despite lower feed costs and better productivity. Rabobank flags uncertainty from US tariff policy, which could reroute trade, along with ASF, PRRS and a foot-and-mouth disease outbreak in Germany that led to import suspensions.
Rabobank also expects possible inflation in some regions to weigh on pork demand.
Restrained herd growth limits pork supply expansion, which supports hog prices, while trade rerouting and disease-driven import bans add price volatility. Lower feed costs remain a partial offset for producers.
在过去 61 次中性的报告事件之后,生猪(瘦肉型) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(48% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.3% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 +2.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。