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EU crop monitor MARS said grain crops were mainly in good condition by mid-February. Excess moisture in France and dryness in Eastern Europe, particularly western Romania and Bulgaria, remain risks, with possible spring resowing.
Crop damage so far is limited compared with eastern Ukraine, Morocco and Algeria.
Good EU crop ratings limit near-term wheat and barley supply concerns, but wet French fields and dry Eastern Europe leave downside risk to yields that could firm wheat prices if weather worsens.
在过去 224 次中性的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.1%(46% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.5%),20 个交易日内为 +0.4%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。