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Wheat prices fell 1.8-2.2% at the start of the week as rain fell on winter wheat areas in the U.S., Ukraine and Russia, with more rain forecast. Chicago, Kansas City, Minneapolis and Paris May futures all declined, and Ukrainian export prices dropped by $6-8/ton.
Improved moisture reduces drought risk for winter wheat, which pressures futures and export quotes. Russian prices are supported by Turkish import-duty changes.
在过去 334 次看跌的天气事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
在过去 70 次看跌的天气事件之后,小麦(HRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(41% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.9% 至 +2.5%),20 个交易日内为 -1.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。