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Northern Mexico's cattle sector faces prolonged drought, with Chihuahua receiving far below normal rainfall over the last 28 months. Producers have liquidated cows, and feed is scarce and expensive.
The US border closure from late November to early February, prompted by New World screwworm in southern Mexico, further cut cattle shipments.
Lower Mexican feeder cattle supply to the US tightens feeder cattle availability and supports US feeder prices. Drought-driven herd liquidation in Mexico means reduced cattle flows for months ahead.
wlj.netDerrell S. Peel, Oklahoma State University Extension livestock marketing specialist2025年3月28日在过去 122 次看涨的疫病事件之后，架子牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（60% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.0% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 +2.0%。
在过去 148 次看涨的疫病事件之后，活牛 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%（62% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.5% 至 +1.2%），20 个交易日内为 +1.4%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
