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USDA agricultural meteorologist Brad Rippey says La Niña is fading and neutral conditions are the favoured outcome from March through the rest of the year. He expects more episodic cold outbreaks in the Midwest and Plains in early spring, and notes USDA's forecast of record corn yields of 181 bushels per acre.
A neutral pattern usually means fewer extreme weather swings, which supports the USDA's large crop outlook and weighs on prices. Early spring cold snaps are a minor offsetting risk to planting.
在过去 445 次中性的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 324 次中性的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。