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US soybean oil futures have traded in a 10-cent range since August but repeatedly rally near 40 cents per pound. Export demand has surged, with exports for the 2024-25 marketing year through April 3 about 976% above last year, led by India, Colombia and Mexico.
Anticipated federal biofuel guidance is also cited as a potential support.
Strong export sales and possible biofuel policy support favor firmer soybean oil prices, which in turn shifts crush margins and soybean meal output.
在过去 842 次看涨的政策事件之后,豆油 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.6% 至 +2.1%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
在过去 206 次中性的政策事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.4%(44% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -2.3% 至 +1.8%),20 个交易日内为 -0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。