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A USDA FAS report forecasts Australian wheat production at 31 million tonnes and barley at 12.5 million tonnes for 2025/26, both down year over year but above the 10-year averages. Conditions are favourable in New South Wales, Queensland and Western Australia, while South Australia and western Victoria remain dry.
Wheat exports are projected at 23 million tonnes.
Reduced Australian exports tighten the world wheat balance, which supports prices for feed grains. Strong output in the main growing states should keep the rally contained.
在过去 769 次看涨的报告事件之后,小麦(SRW) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(53% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.2%。
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。